Foreign Policy has a piece on how Isil might be losing hearts and minds as it discovers how difficult it is to govern.
The ultimate, if not proximate, cause for this “culminating point” (to wax Clausewitzian) is in the inability to deliver basic public services and the failure to promote a more inclusive sense of civil society — the same sociopolitical and socioeconomic vulnerabilities the extremists exploited to begin with.
It reinforces my point about the rise and fall of Islamist movements.
Of course the problem with all of this is that so much analysis of Isil is essentially wishful thinking. But I do hope this is true.