Probably not. I discussed the region, the conflict and forthcoming Sudanese elections on Monocle 24’s Foreign Desk show with Steve Bloomfield and Yosra Akasha, a Sudanese activist. Mukesh Kapila, who first warned the world of what was happening, also appears on the show.
Some brief points:
- Things got worse again last year – 450,000 people were displaced, according to the UN
- President Omar al-Bashir will win the election on April 13, despite outstanding ICC arrest warrants
- George Clooney has given up his post as UN “messenger for peace”
- Sudan has joined Saudi Arabia’s anti-Houthi alliance bombing Yemen
- Musa Hilal, feared Janjaweed leader, has turned against the government in Khartoum
What does any of this mean? Who knows? But one thing seems clear, we are further than ever from finding any kind of solution to Sudan’s problems – further than we were in 2004-2009 when although the world was pursuing the wrong solutions we were at least pursuing something.
Now no-one remembers.
And if you notice a strange sound in the M24 broadcast, it is me trying not to say, “I told you so.”